The Reasons Saudi Investment Hasn't Turned Newcastle into Title Contenders

The Newcastle manager is not given to dramatics or sweeping public statements. Based on his usual demeanor, his press conference after the weekend's loss to West Ham counts as a angry outburst. His side took an early lead but the opposition took the lead by half-time, while also hitting the post and seeing a spot-kick overturned by VAR, prompting Howe to execute a triple change at the half-time.

“That was the frustrating thing about the first half,” the coach said. “Virtually any player could have been substituted and I believe that was a reflection of where we were in that moment in the game and it's extremely uncommon for me to have that impression. In fact, I cannot recall I have since I’ve been head coach of the club, so I felt the team needed some shaking up at half-time. That’s why I did what I did.”

Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade and Emil Krafth were substituted at half-time and Newcastle did stabilise somewhat in the latter period, without ever appearing like they could get back into the game against a side that had secured just a single victory of their previous nine league matches. Given the congestion the centre of the table is, with just three points dividing the top spots from mid-table, and a nine-point margin between the upper and lower ranks, a sequence of 12 points from ten matches has not placed Newcastle stranded but, equally, they cannot end the campaign in 13th.

The Issue of Perception

The challenge to an extent is one of public view. With the Saudi PIF, the club have the wealthiest backers in the world. The assumption at the time the PIF acquired a majority stake of the team in 2021 was that it would have a transformative effect, similar to Roman Abramovich achieved at Stamford Bridge or the City Group did at the Etihad. The distinction is that both of those investors assumed control prior to the advent of financial fair play regulations (and the ongoing allegations against Manchester City relate to whether they breached those guidelines once they were implemented).

Financial restrictions restrict the capacity of proprietors, however rich, to spend money on their squads and therefore probably would have hindered every Middle Eastern attempt to elevate the team to the standard of City. But there is no need for the club's expenditure to have been quite as cautious as it has been; they could have invested further and remained within the threshold – or just accepted a relatively meagre Uefa fine since their major issue is primarily with the European than the domestic regulation.

Infrastructure Investment and PSR Regulations

Besides which, stadium development is exempted from Profit and Sustainability calculations; the easiest method to raise income to create additional financial headroom would be to expand or redevelop the stadium. Given the site of St James’ Park, with listed buildings on two sides, in reality that likely implies constructing an completely new stadium. There was talk in March of possibly undertaking the short move to a local park – resistance from community organizations could surely have been overcome with a promise to create a replacement green space on the current ground location – but there has not been any progress on that proposal. There has been substantial retrenchment from the PIF on a variety of projects as it refocuses on domestic affairs; the approach to Newcastle appears completely in keeping with that strategic shift.

The Alexander Isak Situation

The star striker saga was born of that tension. A more confident management might have portrayed his sale as essential to free up funds for additional spending; instead there was a vain attempt to retain him. This resulted in the team started the campaign amid a feeling of disappointment even with the acquisitions of several new players. The opening was mixed: a single victory in their initial six games.

But it seemed a turning point was reached. They secured five in six before the weekend, a run that included demolitions of Union Saint-Gilloise and a Portuguese club in the Champions League. This explains the performance against West Ham was such a shock. The problem maybe is that the team's approach is very aggressive, very high-octane; a minor decrease in intensity can have profound consequences. Maybe the pressure of Premier League, European and cup competition, five games in 15 days, had got to them. The German forward featured in all five games and appeared particularly weary.

Reality of Contemporary Football

That’s the reality of today's football. Managers have to be ready to rotate. The manager has been unlucky that the forward's fitness issue has meant he is lacking attacking options but, no matter how reasonable the explanations, the weekend's showing was unacceptable –particularly following scoring first at a stadium primed to turn on its own side.

The Newcastle boss will wish it was just a blip, one of those days when all players is off-colour simultaneously, but if the Magpies are to secure the Champions League in the future, not to mention one day mount an genuine title challenge, they cannot be as unreliable as they have been.

Dr. Shawn Bell
Dr. Shawn Bell

A seasoned entrepreneur and startup coach with a passion for helping others succeed in the business world.