NFL Play-Off Picture: Key Deciders & Scenarios for the Season Finale.
As we head into the final week of the regular NFL campaign, only a pair of play-off spots remain open. Yet, far more is at stake, such as the highly desired #1 rankings in both conferences and several division titles.
The schedule makers have produced a dramatic finale, with the final two postseason places on the line in a pair of winner-take-all contests.
Current NFL Play-Off Standings
American Football Conference Rankings
- Denver (13-3)
- New England Patriots (13-3)
- Jacksonville (12-4)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) / Baltimore (8-8)
- Houston Texans (11-5)
- L.A. Chargers (11-5)
- Buffalo (11-5)
The winner of the Steelers-Ravens game will claim the fourth seed and a home-field advantage in the first playoff round. At the same time, Buffalo and Los Angeles are set as wildcard teams.
Houston require a victory and a Jaguars defeat to jump from fifth to third. The Broncos will secure the top seed with a win, but a loss could open the door for the Patriots or the Jaguars to claim it.
NFC Standings
- Seattle Seahawks (13-3)
- Chicago Bears (11-5)
- Philadelphia Eagles (11-5)
- Carolina (8-8) / Tampa Bay (7-9)
- San Francisco (12-4)
- L.A. Rams (11-5)
- Green Bay Packers (9-6)
The South division will be claimed by the victor of the Panthers-Buccaneers game, earning them the #4 position. However, Carolina could still claim the division even with a defeat, depending on other outcomes.
The Packers are locked into the seventh seed. The highlight, however, is the clash for the #1 seed in the NFC between Seattle and San Francisco, with a first-round bye and home playoff games on the line.
How the NFL Postseason Works
The #1 team in each conference earns a valuable first-round bye and home games throughout the play-offs.
On Wildcard Weekend, the remaining six qualified teams face off: the second seed plays the #7 team, #3 plays #6, and #4 faces #5.
For the second round, the #1 seeds join the competition, facing the weakest remaining seed. The AFC and NFC title games are then played at the highest seed, highlighting the critical importance of securing that top spot.
AFC North Decider: A Brutal Finale
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (01:20, Monday)
This bitter grudge match reaches its climax in the final game of the NFL season. With the AFC North and a postseason spot on the line, this is a genuine win-or-go-home scenario.
The Steelers have been up and down all year, while Baltimore struggled early but remain in the hunt. Player availability could be decisive: Pittsburgh may miss star receiver their top wideout, while the Ravens' quarterback Lamar Jackson is a doubt with a back injury.
Running back the powerful back could be the x-factor for Baltimore in what promises to be a physical, defensive battle.
NFC West Showdown for the Top Seed
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers (01:00, Sunday)
More than just the NFC West is on the line when Seattle travels to the 49ers. The winner secures the NFC's top seed and the road to the championship game that comes with it.
This matchup pits an high-powered 49ers offense against a stingy Seahawks defense. With QB their young passer came back, San Francisco have been the league's highest scorers. On the other hand, the Seahawks' unit is ranked among the best in the league.
Seattle QB Sam Darnold must avoid mistakes that have plagued him this season. Whoever wins this clash gains a massive edge for the postseason journey.
NFC South: A Race to Stumble Over the Line
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (21:30 Saturday)
Neither team enters this game with strong form. The Buccaneers have dropped four straight, while the Panthers have missed chances to secure the division.
The Panthers it's simple: a victory gets them in. The Buccaneers, the scenario is trickier. Even with a victory, they require another result from the Falcons-Saints matchup to steal the divisional championship.
AFC's Top Seed Up for Grabs
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans (18:00, Sunday)
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (21:25, Sunday)
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers (21:25, Sunday)
The Denver Broncos hold the cards for the #1 AFC spot. A victory over a Chargers team expected to sit key players seals it.
Should Denver falter, the opportunity arises for the New England Patriots. A Patriots win coupled with a Broncos loss would hand the #1 ranking to Bill Belichick's team.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are the long shot. They require a triumph and defeats for both Denver and New England to pull off an unlikely ascent to #1. More importantly, a Jaguars loss could allow them to be overtaken by the Houston Texans in the AFC South.
NFL Week 18: Complete Schedule
Saturday, 3 January
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (21:30)
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers (01:00, Sunday)
Sunday, 4 January
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons (18:00)
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (18:00)
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings (18:00)
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants (18:00)
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (18:00)
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (18:00)
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (21:25)
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (21:25)
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears (21:25)
Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos (21:25)
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders (21:25)
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams (21:25)
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles (21:25)
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (01:20, Monday)